The documents included below provide guidance through each step of your Project Proposal, and Project Reports.

INTRODUCTION to the Modeling the Future Challenge Resource Library

This resource outlines the six new 2021-22 Resource Library materials and includes a suggested pacing guide for planning over the course of the Scenario Phase.

When all of the potential topics in the world are at your fingertips, identifying a topic, identifying possible risks, finding sources, mathematically modeling, and studying risks can seem overwhelming to begin. This guide will help scaffold the process and guide participants through the process of writing an MTFC Project Proposal. Each task refers to a specific section of The Actuarial Process Guide for more in-depth information.

When all of the potential topics in the world are at your fingertips, identifying a topic, identifying possible risks, finding sources, mathematically modeling, and studying risks can seem overwhelming to begin. This guide will help scaffold the process and guide participants through the process of identifying data and completing data analysis (both self-directed and through guided questions) of the scenario response and subsequent MTFC Project. This resource introduces the Water Quality Training Scenario.
This scaffolding resource guides students through the steps of building a mathematical model. Several examples using expected value are explored and a new Water Quality Training Scenario is integrated throughout the tasks.
A lesson on the fundamentals of characterizing and quantifying risk and making assumptions is followed with tasks continuing the Water Quality Training Scenario.
Students are guided through four tasks related to the process of forming recommendations regarding the Water Quality Training Scenario by exploring the three types of recommendations as described in the Actuarial Process Guide: insurance, behavior changes, modifying outcomes.
Teams have answered every question in the scenario response and completed the project proposal This guide will help scaffold the process and guide participants through the process of writing and review in the MTFC Project Proposal. Each task refers to a specific section of The Actuarial Process Guide for more in-depth information.